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Thursday, 18 June 2015

MY PERSONAL HISTORY OF BAYESIAN STATISTICS (John Wiley)



                                A PERSONAL HISTORY OF BAYESIAN STATISTICS

                                Wiley Hot Article of the Week, 28th April 2014

                                                   


Le Marquis, Pierre-Simon De Laplace
The founding father of Bayesian Statistics


See also BAYESIAN HISTORY (Statslife)

INTERVIEW (Statistics Views)

LATER CHAPTERS  (Self-Published)

Wednesday, 17 June 2015

PRIDE (Poem)


                                                                      PRIDE 

                                                     by Thomas Hoskyns Leonard


 
                                                                   ^Tom

                                                   
                                They wasted four hundred and thirty million,

                                Well nigh close to half a billion,

                                On that wretched Parliament building

                                As the corrupt made a killing.

                                And on its steps we met

                                Without raising a sweat,

                                Divas, smart-arses, swingers, trannies, and dykes galore

                                Ever ready to be prima donnas and take the floor;

                                All queer as folk,

                                And dear as any folk,

                                Including some gentle folk of baulk;

                                A festive occasion,
                             
                                A family resuscitation,

                                As Mums, Dads, and siblings joined the merry throng;

                                Oh, dearie me! What had I done with my thong?

                                My San Francisco t-shirt

                                Was as long as a fancy boy's skirt,

                                And 'I'm gay and I'm heading for Heaven'

                                That's what my naff placard said.

                                "Hey, old man!' cried a smiling cute-arsed policeman,                      

                                "Why don't you go home to bed?"


                                 With a flick of his fingers,

                                 And without ever a fret,
                       
                                 Brett the beginning of the procession processed,

                                 With a glance at the clowns and malingerers,

                                 As two elves into the bushes digressed.

                                 John Hein emitted an inviting whine,

                                 In his snazzy suit looking gingerly fine,

                                 And up the Canongate we headed

                                 To the grand cause united and wedded,

                                 Like queens in petticoats travelling to their fate

                                 As ever in fear of being bullied and hung from a gate.

                                 At the World's End, I imagined the old Netherbow Port
                               
                                 Straddling the cobbles, but that came to nought;

                                  When the crowd surged upwards into Old Embro,

                                  I tucked in my shirt, and went with the flow,

                                  As we t'wards St. Giles Cathedral did merrily go,

                                  Then opposite City Chambers we paused

                                  As the speech makers on the Mercat dug in their claws

                                  And the rainbow flag flew proudly high in the sky;

                                  We've made it to freedom, I realised, wondering how and why!

                                  The people on the pavement applauded and gawped,

                                  The young, the elderly and the somewhat time warped,

                                  As left at the Bridges we swivelled and turned;

                                  Oh for a nice cuppa tea, I snizzled and yearned.

                                  But Teviot Row House soon came into view,

                                  And there we dug into the freebies

                                  Played with the birds and the bees,

                                  Always out for the opportunity to seize,

                                  And listened to the wealthy head of Gay Men's Health,

                                  Taking his cue and exacting his due;

                                  Great for the many, and all praise to the few.



      Composer's Note (20th June 2015): While I have just returned intact from this year's 

      Pride March, the poem refers to the previous march, in 2014


                                   


Me at Pride March, 20th June 2015







Me at Gay Pride 2014


                                               

                                         The Scottish Episcopal Group at Gay Pride 2015


                                                                 


                                          On the Canongate and towards Old Edinburgh






Sunday, 14 June 2015

AN ANTHOLOGY OF SCOTTISH CONSCIOUSNESS by the Leith Walk Rhymers

                                           

                             AN ANTHOLOGY OF SCOTTISH CONSCIOUSNESS

                                                           by The Leith Walk Rhymers
                   


                                                                   


                         TAE THE SCOTS TONGUE, AND FURTHER POEMS

                                        by Scott Forster

                                                 



                        WAKE UP MY SON, AND FURTHER POEMS

                                       by Lindsay Oliver

                                                        


                   
                         A STAIN ON SOCIETY, AND FURTHER POEMS

                                        James L.S. Carter 


                                         



                        SELECTED POEMS (2012-2015)

                                        Thomas Hoskyns Leonard


                                                           

THE BLUSHING PINK ROSE (poem)


                                                 THE BLUSHING PINK ROSE

                                                   by Thomas Hoskyns Leonard


                                                                                                 
                                                                 



              Ne'er as God's one were we entwined

              Though I was a touch favourably inclined;

              But many times round and about the mulberry we drove

              Our mindful  meanderings to probe and rove,

              And many times we dined, smelt and wined

              While discussing matters sublime and most refined;

              You blushed as a pink rose till the pain began to creep,

              Where 'pon your energy began to fade,

               And your soul my mind engage.

               And now resurgent from your agony

               My mind is filled with fresh ecstasy

               And life is better than the richest fantasy;

               Our souls entwined as one together

               Encourage me to sooth your petals in the heather,

               And this is for anon and forever ---



                                           


A RED, RED ROSE  (Robert Burns)


O my Luve's like a red, red rose, 
That's newly sprung in June: 
O my Luve's like the melodie, 
That's sweetly play'd in tune. 

As fair art thou, my bonie lass, 
So deep in luve am I; 
And I will luve thee still, my dear, 
Till a' the seas gang dry. 

Till a' the seas gang dry, my dear, 
And the rocks melt wi' the sun; 
And I will luve thee still, my dear, 
While the sands o' life shall run. 

And fare-thee-weel, my only Luve! 
And fare-thee-weel, a while! 
And I will come again, my Luve, 
Tho' 'twere ten thousand mile!


                               

                               

Friday, 12 June 2015

The Department of Statistics of the University of Wisconsin-Madison



                                                        STATISTICS AT WISCONSIN



                                                     


                                                             George Box (1919-2013)


                                                   50 YEAR HISTORY       SPRINGER


                                                       MORE HISTORY

                                 
                               THE LIFE OF A BAYESIAN BOY, CHAPTER 6
                           

                                 

                                       A Comedy Skit in George Box's house, Christmas 1983 

                                  Rich Johnson, Grace Wahba, George Box, Tom Leonard
                                                       Tim Read and John Gurland    

                                           

                                      A Student Skit in George Box's House, Christmas 1990
                                             I am played by Joanne Wendelberger



                                   

                                            The Mayflower Rose by Fabio Cunha

                                  In what immortal dream did I meet the Mayflower Rose?




                         Review of THE ACCIDENTAL STATISTICIAN (George Box)


                       





                             

THE FIRST ISBA NEWSLETTER, November 1992, with my article Bayesian Statistics, An Overview







                                         FIRST ISBA NEWSLETTER  (edited by myself)

                                          Please scroll down for my article 'Bayesian Statistics, An Overview)

                         Note that Jose Bernardo, as co-president, acknowledges that it was
                         largely due to the efforts of my friend Arnold  Zellner and I that ISBA
                        became a reality in 1992. Indeed I devised the name of the Society, 
                        faced up to some tricky politics with Adrian Smith and Tony O'Hagan, 
                        and wrote the preliminary constitution, Then Gordon Kaufmann
                        registered the organisation with the State of Illinois on behalf of
                        the three of us. Little did I realize how influential the Society would
                        become. I was elected as one of the first, a founding fellows, of ISBA 
                        in late 2012.

                                       


                                        FIRST PARAGRAPH OF NEWSLETTER

                                         Included in a historical discussion by Arnold Zellner

                                       ARNOLD ZELLNER OBITUARY



                                     Tom Leonard, Arnold Zellner, Gordon Kaufmann, Wes Johnson
                                      Carl Morris, and Shanti Gupta at the inaugural meeting of
                                      ISBA in the Hotel Nikko in San Francisco in August 1993