IRVING JACK GOOD, Statistician, Philosopher, and Scientist

                                           
   I count Jack Good among my friends, He corresponded with me during the 1970s about cryptanalysis, shrinkage estimators for multinomial cell probabilities, and density estimation and bumping hunting using roughness penalties, We met at Valencia 1 in 1979, and then several times in the United States. He was very supportive of my research, and we played chess together. He and Morris De Groot were for me the truly great men of post-Turing Bayesian Statistics


                                                   JACK GOOD, IN MEMORIUM



An excerpt from THE LIFE OF A BAYESIAN BOY (CHAPTER 3)

                                           

Within a few weeks I was able to extend Dennis’s method for the estimation of several exchangeable means and variances (that he’d extended to M-group regression in Iowa City during a remunerative consultancy for the American College Testing program with Mel Novick) to simultaneous inference and shrinkage estimation for several binomial probabilities. I did this by employing logistic transformations and non-conjugate hierarchical prior distributions, and these devices lead to my very first paper in an international journal (Bayesian Methods for Binomial Data, Biometrika 1972).

Jack Good

My friend Irving Jack Good (with whom I corresponded  about Alan Turing and their multinomial shrinkage estimators for cryptanalysis at Bletchley Park, which were instrumental in solving the Nazi codes) did not believe that my more general Logit/ First Stage Multivariate Normal Prior / hierarchical approach to the analysis of categorical data was sufficiently recognised by other Bayesians. Nevertheless, Alan Agresti and several other authors seem to think that it was a pioneering contribution, along with my external examiner’s (Patricia Altham’s) novel analysis of measures of association for 2x2 contingency tables. Indeed, many others have followed in my footsteps.

Related Work: EDWARD SIMPSON, BAYES AT BLETCHLEY PARK

                        TURING, BAYES AT BLETCHLEY PARK




An excerpt from A PERSONAL HISTORY OF BAYESIAN STATISTICS Chapter 4

n their 1973 JASA paper, Stephen Fienberg and Paul Holland proposed Empirical Bayes alternatives to Jack Good’s 1965 hierarchical Bayes estimators for p multinomial cell probabilities. They devised a ratio-unbiased data-based estimate for Good’s flattening constant α, and proved that the corresponding shrinkage estimators for the cell probabilities possess outstanding mean squared error properties for large enough p. Fienberg and Holland show that, while the sample proportions are admissible with respect to squared error loss, they possess quite inferior risk properties on the interior of parameter space when p is large, a seminal result.

                                             I.J. GOOD (Wikipedia)


                                  Introducing ROUGHNESS PENALTIES

                                     
                              DENSITY ESTIMATION AND BUMP HUNTING


            

THE LOST LINGERING LEGACY OF ROBERT F.KENNEDY

                                                      TO BOBBY, IN MEMORIUM

                                                         

                                                      ROBERT F. KENNEDY (WIKIPEDIA)

                                                      BOBBY KENNEDY ASSASSINATED

                                                      LIKE FATHER LIKE SON

                                                      THE SPEECH THAT GOT JACK KENNEDY KILLED

MY ACADEMIC PUBLICATIONS (1971-2016) Tom Leonard (Writer, Poet, and Mathematical Statistician)

                     
                       TOM LEONARD'S PUBLICATIONS (1971-2016)


                                                               

                        Books and Histories 

                        SCIENTIFIC INFERENCE, DATA ANALYSIS, AND ROBUSTNESS
                       (Academic Press, 1983. Co-edited with George Box and Chien-Fu Wu)

                        BAYESIAN METHODS (Cambridge University Press, 1999, with John Hsu)

                        A COURSE IN CATEGORICAL DATA ANALYSIS ( Chapman and Hall 1999,
                        with contributions by Orestis Papasouliotis)

                        THE LIFE OF A BAYESIAN BOY (2012, self-published)

                        A PERSONAL HISTORY OF BAYESIAN STATISTICS  (2014, Wiley)

                        Wiley Hot Article of the Week 28th April 2014


                        Article Level Metrics


                          Score in context

Is one of the highest ever scores in this journal (ranked #7 of 136)

Puts article in the top 25% of all articles ranked by attention

Very good compared to articles of the same age (82nd percentile)

                        A PERSONAL HISTORY OF BAYESIAN STATISTICS  (2014, StatsLife)

                        A PERSONAL HISTORY OF BAYESIAN STATISTICS (2014, Website)

                        THE LIFE OF A BAYESIAN BOY: AN INTERVIEW WITH THOMAS HOSKYNS 

                        LEONARD (2014, Statistics Views)
                 
                        REBORN ON SOUTRA (2017, Self-Published Novel)

                        INTERVIEW BY DIEGO ANDRES LUIS PEREZ (Bulletin of the International
                        Society for Bayesian Analysis, 2016)


                      WRITTEN AND VERBAL SUBMISSIONS TO THE  COMMISSION OF INQUIRY  

                       INTO THE HISTORY OF EUGENICS AT UCL (with Scott Forster 2019)
                                                 
                                                                             Dissertations

                       Bayesian Methods for Several Multinomial Distributions (1971)
                      M.Sc, Dissertation,University College London

                       Bayesian Methods for the Simultaneous Estimation of Several Parameters (1973)
                       Ph.D. Thesis, University of London    Supervised by D.V. Lindley


                                                                  OTHER ARTICLES
                                      
                                                     * My fourteen favourite articles are starred* 

                      My research output has greatly benefited from joint publications with 
                      Taskin Atilgan, John Hsu, Tom Chiu, Mohammed Madi, and Orestis 
                      Papasouliotis, who I first met as students at the University of 
                     Wisconsin-Madison, and who all completed their Ph.Ds with my co-author
                      Kam Wah Tsui and/or myself.

                      My co-authors also include Tony O'Hagan, P. Jeffrey Harrison, 
                      J.Keith Ord, Jim Low, Louis Broekhoven, Melvyn Novick, 
                      Christian Ritter, Irwin Guttman, Li Sun, S.H. Kim, Frank Baker, 
                      Colin Aitken, Richard L. Brown, Laura Rounds, and Ian Main.

            


                       DURING 1970s

                       1. BAYESIAN METHODS FOR BINOMIAL DATA (1972) Biometrika


                       2*. A BAYESIAN METHOD FOR HISTOGRAMS (1973) Biometrika


                       3. A MODIFICATION TO THE BAYES ESTIMATE OF A NORMAL
                            DISTRIBUTION (1974) Biometrika

                       4, COMMENT ON THE ESTIMATION OF PROPORTIONS IN
                           M GROUPS (1974) Psychometrika

                      5. Letter on Parapsychology and Coincidences (1974) Sunday Times
                          Later reproduced in INCREDIBLE COINCIDENCE by Alan Vaughan

                      6*. A BAYESIAN APPROACH TO THE LINEAR MODEL WITH
                          UNEQUAL VARIANCES (1975) Technometrics

                      7*. BAYESIAN ESTIMATION METHODS FOR TWO-WAY
                          CONTINGENCY TABLES (1975) JRSSB

                      8. SOME ALTERNATIVE APPROACHES TO MULTI-PARAMETER
                           ESTIMATION (1976) Biometrika

                      9. AN INVESTIGATION OF THE F-TEST PROCEDURE AS AN
                           ESTIMATION SHORTCUT (with J.K.Ord, 1976) JRSSB

                     10. BAYES ESTIMATION SUBJECT TO UNCERTAINTY ABOUT PARAMETER
                           CONSTRAINTS (with A O'Hagan, 1976) Biometrika

                     11. A BAYESIAN APPROACH TO SOME MULTINOMIAL ESTIMATION
                           AND PRETESTING PROBLEMS (1977) JASA

                     12. AN ALTERNATIVE BAYESIAN APPROACH TO THE BRADLEY-TERRY
                           MODEL FOR PAIRED COMPARISONS (1977) Biometrics

                     13. BAYESIAN SIMULTANEOUS ESTIMATION FOR SEVERAL
                           MULTINOMIAL DISTRIBUTIONS (1977) Comm. Statist. A

                     14. AN APPLICATION OF MULTIVARIATE HIERARCHICAL
                            FORECASTING (with P.J. Harrison and T.Gazard, 1977)
                            RSS Annual Conference Proceedings

                     15*.  DENSITY ESTIMATION, STOCHASTIC PROCESSES AND
                            PRIOR  INFORMATION (with Discussion, 1978) JRSSB
                         
                         
                     DURING 1980s (% indicates co-authorship with John S.J.Hsu)

                       1*. THE ROLES OF COHERENCE AND INDUCTIVE MODELLING
                           IN BAYESIAN STATISTICS (with Discussion,1980) Valencia 1

                       2*.THE PROBABILITY OF FETAL METALOBIC ACIDOSIS DURING
                           LABOR IN A POPULATION AT RISK AS DETERMINED BY
                           CLINICAL FACTORS (with Discussion, 1981 with Jim Low et al)
                           American Journal of Obstetrics and Gynaecology

                       3*. Comment on A SIMPLE PREDICTIVE DENSITY FUNCTION (1982)
                            JASA. Contains a seminal result introducing conditional Laplacian
                            Approximations into the Bayesian literature.

                       4* AN EMPIRICAL BAYES APPROACH TO THE SMOOTH
                           ESTIMATION OF UNKNOWN FUNCTIONS (1982) MRC Report

                          This technical report initiated a large literature on the effectively Bayesian 
                          smoothing of logistic regression functions, It is cited by

                                          O'Sullivan, Yandell, and Raynor (JASA 1986)

                       5. AN INFERENTIAL APPROACH TO THE BIOSSAY DESIGN
                           PROBLEM (1982) MRC Report
                           Turned out to be actually concerned with nuclear missiles hitting silos

                       6. APPLICATIONS OF THE EM ALGORITHM TO THE
                           ESTIMATION OF BAYESIAN HYPERPARAMETERS (1982)
                           MRC Report

                       7.  STATISTICAL INFERENCE FOR THE SKEWED NORMAL
                            AND RELATED DISTRIBUTIONS (1982, with Louis Broekhoven)
                            MRC Report
 
                       8.  A BAYESIAN APPROACH TO MARKOVIAN  MODELS FOR
                            NORMAL AND POISSON DATA (1982) MRC Report

                       9. BAYES ESTIMATION OF A MULTIVARIATE DENSITY
                           (1982) MRC Report

                     10. SOME PHILOSOPHIES OF INFERENCE AND MODELING
                          (1983) In Scientific Inference, Robustness and Data Analysis

                     11 Comment on PARAMETRIC EMPIRICAL BAYES INFERENCE
                           (1983)JASA

                     12. SOME DATA-ANALYTIC MODIFICATIONS TO BAYES-STEIN
                            ESTIMATION (1984) Ann Inst Statist Math

                     13 ON BAYES THEOREM, PATERNITY TESTING AND WISCONSIN
                           LAW (1985) UW Report                     

                     14. BAYESIAN INFERENCE AND DIAGNOSTICS FOR THE
                           THREE PARAMETER LOGISTIC MODEL (1985, with M.R.Novick)
                           ONR Report

                     15 Comment on TESTING FOR INDEPENDENCE IN A TWO-WAY
                           TABLE (1985) Annals of Statistics

                     16. BAYESIAN FULL-RANK MARGINALIZATION FOR TWO-WAY
                           CONTINGENCY TABLES (1986, with M.R. Novick) JES

                     17 ON THE APPLICATION OF AIC TO BIVARIATE DENSITY
                           ESTIMATION, NON-PARAMETRIC REGRESSION, AND
                           DISCRIMINATION (1985, with T. Atilgan)
                           Symposium Proceedings

                     18*. % BAYESIAN MARGINAL INFERENCE (1989, with John Hsu
                           ands Kam-Wah Tsui) JASA

                

                    DURING 1990s  ($ indicates co-authorship with Orestis Papasouliotis)


                      1. % Comment on PREDICTIVE LIKELIHOOD-A REVIEW
                          (1990, with John Hsu and Kam-Wah Tsui) Statistical Science

                      2. Commentary on PARENTING PROBABILITY, AN
                          UNNECESSARY ARTIFACT (1991, by John Wood) 
                          (Reference obscure)

                      3. % STATISTICAL INFERENCE FOR MULTIPLE CHOICE TESTS
                          (1991, with John Hsu and Kam-Wah Tsui) Psychometrika

                      4*. %BAYESIAN INFERENCE FOR A COVARIANCE MATRIX
                          (1992, with John Hsu) Annals of Statistics

                      5. BAYESIAN ANALYSIS, AN OVERVIEW       FULL TEXT
                          (1992, first ISBA newsletter)

                      6. % THE BAYESIAN ANALYSIS OF CATEGORICAL DATA,
                          A SELECTIVE REVIEW (1994, with John Hsu) In Aspects of Uncertainty: 
                         A Tribute to D.V. Lindley
                         

                      7. % THE LAPLACIAN T-APPROXIMATION IN BAYESIAN INFERENCE
                         (1994, with John Hsu and Christian Ritter) Statistica Sinica

                      8. % BAYESIAN AND LIKELIHOOD METHODS FROM
                          EQUALLY WEIGHTED MIXTURES
                          (1994, with John Hsu et al) Ann Inst Statist Math

                      9.% ON SMALL SAMPLE BAYESIAN INFERENCE AND DESIGN FOR
                          QUANTAL RESPONSE CURVES (1994,with John Hsu)
                           In Modeling and Prediction honouring Seymour Geisser

                     10. AN INVESTIGATION OF HIERARCHICAL BAYES PROCEDURES
                          IN ITEM RESPONSE THEORY (1994, with S.H. Kim et al)
                           Psychometrika

  

                     11. ON EXCHANGEABLE SAMPLING DISTRIBUTIONS FOR
                          UNCONTROLLED DATA (1996) Stat and Prob Letters

                     12*. THE MATRIX-LOGARITHMIC COVARIANCE MODEL
                           (1996, with Tom Chiu and Kam-Wah Tsui) JASA

                     13.% BAYESIAN METHODS FOR VARIANCE COMPONENTS MODELS
                          (1996, with Li Sun, John Hsu and Irwin Guttman) JASA

                     14. BAYESIAN ESTIMATION FOR SHIFTED EXPONENTIAL
                          DISTRIBUTIONS (1996, with M.T, Madi) J Stat Plan Inf.

                     15 $. ESTIMATION OF QUANTITIES HANDLED AND BURDEN
                          OF PROOF ( 1996, with Colin Aitken et al) JRSSA

                     16 $. PRONOUNCED CYTOPLASMIC PH GRADIENTS ARE NOT
                           REQUIRED FOR TIP GROWTH IN PLANT AND FUNGAL CELLS
                          (1997 with R.M.Parton et al) Journal of Cell Science

                     18 $. A TWO-ITEM SCREENING QUESTIONNAIRE FOR ALCOHOL
                            AND OTHER DRUG PROBLEMS (1997, with R.L. Brown et al)
                          Journal of Family Practice

                     19*.% HIERARCHICAL BAYESIAN SEMI-PARAMETRIC PROCEDURES
                           FOR LOGISTIC REGRESSION. (1997, with John Hsu) Biometrika

                     20 $. THE PREVALENCE AND DETECTION OF SUBSTANCE ABUSE
                           DISORDERS IN PATIENTS  OF AGES 18 TO 49
                          (1998, with R.L. Brown et al) Preventive Medicine

                     21 $. ONE SLOPE OR TWO? DETECTING STATISTICALLY
                            SIGNIFICANT BREAKS OF SLOPE IN GEOPHYSICAL DATA
                           (1999, with Ian Main et al) Geophysical Research Letters


                       AD 2000 and beyond

                      Three joint papers, concerning a statistical approach to radial basis
                      networks, with International Chess Master Mark Orr and his colleagues in 
                      A.I. are omitted as I did not substantively contribute. They appeared in
                      the International Journal for Neural Systems (1999, 2000). As far as I can
                      remember,  I contributed to the original grant proposal and talked with Mark
                      several times about Bayesian approaches to the problem, over  a drink. 
                     One of my junior  colleagues, who was also a boy scout leader, 
                     was supposed to be working on this joint research, but he got diverted 
                      by more pressing issues.                      

                       The Geophysics patent and two related papers evolved from Chapter 5 of 
                      Orestis' Ph.D. thesis


                      1. BAYES ESTIMATION WITH UNCERTAIN ORDER CONSTRAINTS
                          (2000, with M.T.Madi and Kam-Wah Tsui) J Stat Plan Inf

                      2 $. A TWO-ITEM CONJOINT SCREEN FOR ALCOHOL AND OTHER 
                          DRUG RELATED PROBLEMS (2001, with R.L.Brown et al)
                          Journal of the Board of Family Practice

                      3*.   A BAYESIAN FIXED EFFECTS ANALYSIS OF THE 
                          MANTEL-HAENSZEL MODEL APPLIED TO META ANALYSIS
                          (2002, with John Duffy) Statistics in Medicine

                      4. $ COVARIANCE MATRIX ESTIMATION  (2003, with O. Papasouliotis)
                             Encyclopedia of Environmetrics

                      5. $ A POISSON MODEL FOR IDENTIFYING CHARACTERISTIC SIZE
                          EFFECTS IN FREQUENCY DATA (2001, with O. Papasouliotis and
                           Ian Main) Journal of Geophysical Research

                      6.% THE SAFARI CAT DATA, PERFORMANCE INDICATORS AND 
                          POSSIBLY MONOTONIC POPULATION PROPORTIONS
                          (2005, with John Hsu) UCSB, Unpublished Manuscript

                      7.% BAYESIAN INFERENCE FOR MODEL CHOICE
                          (2006, with John Hsu) UCSB, Unpublished Manuscript, a bit flawed            

                      8*.$ LONG RANGE CRITICAL POINT DYNAMICS IN OILFIELD
                          FLOW RATE DATA (2006, with Ian Main et al)
                          Geophysical Research Letters

                      9.$ HYDROCARBON RECOVERY FROM A HYDROCARBON RESERVOIR
                           (2006, with Ian Main et al) International Patent

                     10.$ THE STATISTICAL RESERVOIR MODEL: CALIBRATING FAULTS
                           AND FRACTURES AND PREDICTING RESERVOIR RESPONSE TO
                           WATER FLOOD (2007, with Ian Main et al) Geological Society London

                     11. MY FAMILY ANCESTRY (2012) Self-published

                     12. HEALTH WARNING (2012) Self-published

                     13. ON GAY SOCIETY AND TRADITIONAL FAMILIES
                           (2012, with Alan Turkington and Gay Euclid Edinburgh) Self-published

                     15: PE 1494/A and PE 1494/S (2013) Scottish Parliament

                     16: MHB 108 (2014) Scottish Government

                           See also DOWNLOADABLE DOCUMENTS

                     17. ON ANALYSING THE SCOTTISH CRIME DATA, AND MENTAL 
                           HEALTH (2015)
                           Thomas Hoskyns Leonard Blog

                     18. MY ONGOING MENTAL HEALTH CAMPAIGN (2015)
                            Thomas Hoskyns Leonard Blog

               
                     17. TO JOHN AND ORESTIS, CO-AUTHORS EXTRAORDINAIRE
                            (Poem, 2015) Thomas Hoskyns Leonard Blog





                           A MESSAGE FROM PROFESSOR MANABU ASAI



                                  

                             
                               Tom, aged 67, reading a poem to the 'Blind Poetics'
                                performance group, in the Blind Poet Bar, Edinburgh
       

                   
                           Please click here for 46 SELECTED POEMS (2012-2015)

                           A number of further poems are published on my blog,







                                                                SHORT STORIES

                      1. JOE'S MOLE (2012)

                      2. SENSUOUS JACUZZI (2012)

                      3. A ROMANCE IN THE AFTON RED RIFT (2012)

                      4. THE TRAGEDY OF PETER TAVERTON (2012)

                      5. A DOUBLE SEDUCTION IN PLYMPTON SAINT MARY (2012)

                      6. A MICRO-TOUR OF A TINY CORNER OF YORKSHIRE (2012)

                      7. CAPTAIN CHARLIE AND THE GREEN HOODS (2012)

                      8. MOTHER TERESA APPEARS IN HOPETOUN 
                          CRESCENT GARDENS (2012)

                      9. AUNTIE MAGNOLIA'S MOST WONDERFUL EXPERIENCE
                          (2012)





                                                       INCOMPLETE NOVELS

                       
                      1. PRINCE HAMLET VISITS QINSATORIX (2012)

                      2. A DEVONIAN SAGA (2014)
                       

                     
                             

             


                             
                                    ETERNAL FATHER STRONG TO SAVE

                          Dedicated to my grandfather CERA First Class Emmanuel Leonard

                                             

TO JOHN AND ORESTIS, CO-AUTHORS EXTRAORDINAIRE (POEM)

                      TO JOHN AND ORESTIS, CO-AUTHORS EXTRAORDINAIRE

                                             by Thomas Hoskyns Leonard


                                     When I with mood stabilizers was frought,
             
                                     In fear of coherent Bayesians

                                     And other eagle-eyed Vespasians,

                                     And producing between zilch and nought,

                                     John Shih-Jian Hsu to my rescue came,

                                     The bright-eyed Chinese lad leading the lame.

                                     'Look!' he cried, and I could have died,

                                     'Your conditional Laplacian approximation,

                                     Which I calculated by successive maximization,

                                     During the time it takes my brows to knit,

                                     Down the tails of the exact posterior does most precisely fit;

                                     Your piddling little 1982 comment in JASA

                                     Will become as celebrated as Crazy Horse and Hiawatha.'

                         
                                     So John with me and Kam
 
                                     Hit t'others with a wham,

                                     And onwards to a Wisconsin Ph.D. headed

                                     While with Bayesian marginal inference becoming wedded,

                                     And our further generalisations

                                      Put paid to the zany asymptotics

                                      Of the myopics and the crustaceans,

                                      Oh, happy, happy, me,

                                      My career was no longer out to sea!


                                      Then off to Santa Barbara John did go

                                      With Serene and the whiz-kids in full flow;

                                      But I in the Crazy Lady Hotel did stay

                                      While we gathered the rosebuds while we may,

                                      And we wrote a mighty epistle

                                      About log covariance matrices shrinking like a thistle;

                                      To the Annals of Statistics it headed

                                      And Bayes and Fisher were forever wedded.

                                      We would it to a generalised linear model extend,

                                      Chiu and me, with plenty of facsimile, and Tsui,

                                      Though the maths was enough to send you round the bend.

                                       Henceforth economists were to ring the seminal model's praises

                                       When it became one of the latest crazes;

                                       Now LeSage, Pace and Asai can address their data's phases,

                                       As the random effects' affinity for stochastic volatility ever amazes.


                                       Then handsome Orestis from Salonika proudly came

                                       The Papasouliotis of the Acropolis

                                       In all but ancient Grecian name

                                       With Rich and Laura he worked with me,

                                       While feeling creative and carefree,

                                       On designing the Wisconsin Substance Abuse questionnaire

                                       After factor analysis for 853 items proved to be hot air.

                                       Two simple questions did we discern,

                                       While the interviewers shook random balls in an urn,

                                        That could distinguish the alcoholics and drugoholics from the rest

                                        And with sensitivity and specificity by no means second best.

                                        Tens of thousands of substance abusers have since been screened

                                         And from their alcohol and drugs successfully weaned.

                                         Three papers in Family Medicine did the happy four co-author

                                         Without any crass referee putting us to the slaughter,

                                         And as for the Dragon Lady? We never bought her.

                                         What's more the deal earned Orestis his keep,

                                         And me my peaceful sleep

                                         Since the NIH gave me my summer money,

                                         And I could eat, and lick the honey




                                        When Embro called, I back to Old Blighty went

                                        To Finney's Auld Reekie Chair,

                                        Which wasn't exactly heaven sent,

                                        But much more than I could ever dare for.

                                        Thank goodness that Orestis me from Madison followed

                                        Or I in the shit would've certainly wallowed.

                                         He in STATLAB worked with me

                                         And we gave advice without a fee

                                         To archaeologists, cell biologists, astronomers and the like,

                                         As well as Deans and oddballs learning to ride a trike,

                                         And when Ian Main from Geophysics came,

                                         We all endeavoured to achieving everlasting fame,

                                         As earthquakes and oilwells joined the game,
                                   
                                          And Orestis on Tony Busuttil's sex offender data set

                                          For his thesis worked, and found his needs well met

                                          Putting neuropsychological tests through the mill
                                       
                                          As they sought to distinguish the good guys from the swill.

                                          Oh, happy happy days!

                                           Everything was going our way!


                                           As the twentieth century faded,

                                           We were by no means jaded,

                                           John Hsu and I with Cambridge University Press,

                                           With 'Bayesian Methods' put generations of students under duress

                                           While Orestis helped me a book on Categorical Data to write

                                           And Chapman and Hall published it without undue fright.

                                            In Anno Domini 2000, Orestis was with his doctorate acclaimed,

                                            His Analysis of Covariance and oilwell algorithm quite well famed.

                                            But then, out of the blue, my personal Armageddon struck

                                            And I was raked upside down and through the muck,


                                           Now with my Resurrection o'er three years past,

                                           I strive to contribute until the last

                                           But with John and Orestis I published ten fine papers each;

                                          Those heights of attainment, I ne'er again will reach.

                                          John of his department at UCSB is now head,

                                          While Orestis to pharmaceuticals in Geneva is wed,

                                          Like sons to me, they carry honest Statistics forward

                                          In places, well away from this Sceptred Isle,

                                          Where their voices will be heard,

                                          And others will not be riled
                           
                                          Or give vent the bird.


                                     

                             

     

                                   
                                       

                           


                                Click here for title of Orestis' Ph.D. thesis

                                Click here for title of John's Ph.D. thesis

                                LOG-COVARIANCE MATRIX  ESTIMATION by Xinwei Deng

                               MANABU ASAI (extended our work)

                             

                               XINWEI DENG (extended our work)

                                                               

                              Six of my papers have been published jointly with

                              KAM WAH TSUI

                                                     

                             And four, and an international patent, with

                              IAN MAIN, LOUIS NEEL MEDAL 2014


                                                   

                                   
                                   

     


                             

THE U.S. ARMY'S MATHEMATICS RESEARCH CENTER AT THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON

 

                                                      AN UNEASY ALLIANCE


                                      CHAPTER 6 OF THE LIFE OF A BAYESIAN BOY

                                   

                                                  THE ENIGMATIC EIGHTIES

                                   
                             SCIENTIFIC INFERENCE, ROBUSTNESS AND DATA ANALYSIS

                                   edited by George Box , Tom Leonard, and Chien-Fu Wu

                            I worked half time at the Math Research Center (M.R.C) between
                      1979 and 1983 when it was housed in the WARF building and John Nohel
                      was Director and the statisticians George Box, Bernie Harris and Chien-Fu
                      Wu were in residence, and I was forced to work on sensitive military                                                     applications,contrary to State Law.  In 1991 and during the Gulf War, my
                      account  of these clandestine activities was published in the Daily Cardinal,
                      the students' newspaper at the University of Wisconsin-Madison this led
                      to a tremendous furore, For example, numerous students complained to
                      Chancellor Donna Shalala, John Nohel was dragged out of bed to explain
                      what had been going on, and Senator Barry Goldwater leapt to M.R.C.
                      defense. That seemed to spell M.R.C.'s final death knell, and thank
                      goodness for that M.R.C. had previously been bombed while it was  housed
                      in Sterling Hall during the Vietnam War, and it shouldn't have been allowed
                      to survive for as long as it did, The U.S. Army shifted its funding to Cornel
                      University in 1987. George Box once told their top brass to 'fuck off'
                      when they invited  him to review the troops from a helicopter, but he
                      believed in giving the military an occasional 'lollipop'.





 

THE STRUGGLE AGAINST GAY DISCRIMINATION IN THE U.S. MILITARY

                                                         




                                                           ROTC UNDER FIRE
                                                         
                                                             by David Halperin
                   


      A MEETING OF THE FULL FACULTY OF THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON

                                                           4th December 1989


                                                 

                                                     The Fieldhouse,  UW Madison
                                         
                                                     

THE LIFE OF A BAYESIAN BOY: CHAPTER 8, RESURRECTION

                                  What happened after I stopped taking my Epilim in October 2011.


                                                         RESURRECTION

                                                   This was eleven years after

                                                          ARMAGEDDON

                        My life in the intervening years is heavily satirised in my self-published novel


                                             IN THE SHADOWS OF CALTON HILL